A sharp fall in sales of Nokia's basic phones overshadowed a stronger
performance from its Lumia smartphones in the first quarter, sending its
shares tumbling.
The results renewed pressure on Chief Executive Stephen Elop, who was
hired in 2010 to turn the Finnish mobile phone maker around after
falling behind rivals Samsung and Apple in the smartphone race.
He made the controversial decision to switch to Microsoft's untried
Windows Phone software in early 2011 and had said the transition would
take two years, a period that's now over. Analysts said he was running
out of time.
"Basically, he has only the second quarter," said Mikko Ervasti at Finnish investment banking and wealth management group Evli.
Nokia said it sold 5.6 million units of Lumia handsets in the first
quarter, up from 4.4 million in the previous quarter and in line with
expectations.
But shipments of mobile phones slumped 21 percent to 55.8 units, a far
steeper decline than the 8 percent fall that markets expected, with unit
sales down in every region.
As a result, overall net sales fell 20 percent to 5.9 billion euros from
a year earlier, far short of the 6.5 billion euros forecast by analysts
in a Reuters poll.
Sales at its equipment venture NSN fell 5 percent to 2.8 billion euros,
weaker than expected, although its underlying profit was higher than
expected due to restructuring.
STAYING RELEVANT
Nokia's future is seen as depending on higher-margin smartphones as a
growing number of global consumers want access to apps such as Twitter
from their handsets, but it also needs to protect its position in the
basic phone market so buyers of its lower-end handsets don't defect to
other brands when they eventually upgrade to smartphones.
In markets such as China, Nokia faces strong competition not only from rivals such as Samsung but also from emerging, cut-price competitors.
"The fall in numbers for the low-end devices is quite alarming," said
Nordea analyst Sami Sarkamies. "Even with Lumia doing better, we still
care about those. Nokia is still a second-tier player in smartphones,
and it's only because of its position in mobile phones that it's still
relevant."
Elop told reporters that the main reason for the fall in mobile phone
sales was tougher competition and the company would aim to fight back
with more innovative, low-priced products.
Nokia recently launched a 15 euro phone in an effort to boost its share
in emerging markets, and has been expanding its mid-tier offering, too,
with its range of Asha feature phones to keep customers loyal.
Though Nokia said it expected Lumia sales to grow more strongly in the
coming quarter, Samsung and Apple, which between them will have shipped
nearly 100 million smartphones in the first quarter, show little sign of
ceding market share. Samsung's Galaxy S4 is set to go on sale later
this month and is expected to outsell its predecessors with monthly
sales of around 10 million.
PROTECTING CASH
Some analysts said they were worried about Nokia's forecast for margins
in its devices and services business to be "approximately negative 2
percent", give or take 4 percentage points in the second quarter, down
from a positive 0.1 percent in the first.
Cost cuts helped its net cash position improve to 4.5 billion euros from
4.4 billion in the previous quarter, rather than fall as markets
expected.
The company's first-quarter underlying loss, which excludes special
items, decreased to 0.02 euros from 0.08 euros a year earlier. Markets
had expected a 0.04 loss, according to a Reuters poll.
Despite such bright spots, weak sales in the bread-and-butter mobile
phones briefly sent Nokia's shares down 12.7 percent to a year-low of
2.30 euros.
By 1155 GMT the shares traded at 2.47 euros, higher than their lifetime
low of 1.33 recorded last year but still a far cry from their 65-euro
peak in 2000.
Nordea's Sarkamies said the weak results in mobile phones might force
analysts to reconsider what they see as the sum value of the company's
parts, which include its handset business, Navteq mapping unit and stake
in NSN. Many analysts had estimated that to be around 4-5 euros.
"Worries about the mobile phone business are now greater," he said.
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